FR · Europe/Paris
Polymarket settles Paris temperature on LFPB
LFPB is Paris-Le Bourget, Paris. Polymarket settles temperature contracts here. Below: the resolution source each venue names, when the station reports, and how long a reading takes to reach the public feed.
Polymarket uses LFPB (Paris-Le Bourget). IBKR ForecastEx settles the same city on LFPO (Paris Orly) instead. The two sites can report different temperatures at the same moment and land in different contract buckets on the same day, so a reading from one tells you nothing definitive about the other.
How it settles
| Venue | Resolution source | Unit | Bucket | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Routine METAR reports published by aviationweather.gov Source code LFPB. Every report not marked SPECI counts, off-hour ones included, read from the T group in tenths of a degree Celsius and rounded half up to a whole degree of the contract. It is the same report stream shown here, so the running high tracks it directly. | Celsius | 1°C Range contract | high · lowhighest-temperature-in-paris, lowest-temperature-in-paris |
Reporting and delay
Questions
Which weather station settles Paris temperature contracts?
Polymarket settles Paris on LFPB, Paris-Le Bourget. IBKR ForecastEx settles the same city on LFPO, Paris Orly, which is a different site.
What is the resolution source for Polymarket Paris temperature?
Polymarket names Routine METAR reports published by aviationweather.gov. Contracts settle in Celsius, on 1-degree buckets. Every report not marked SPECI counts, off-hour ones included, read from the T group in tenths of a degree Celsius and rounded half up to a whole degree of the contract. It is the same report stream shown here, so the running high tracks it directly.
When does LFPB report?
:00 and :30 past each hour, UTC — 2 regular reports per hour.
How long does a LFPB observation take to become public?
Measured over 26 hours on 2026-09-17, the median delay from the observation time in the report to its arrival on the public NOAA feed was 2 min 25 s, with a 90th percentile of 6 min 6 s across 52 reports. This moves with upstream conditions and is not a service level.
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