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THE STATION YOUR CONTRACT ACTUALLY SETTLES ON

Same city.
Different station.

Kalshi settles New York on Central Park. Polymarket settles it on LaGuardia. Right now those two stations sit in different contract buckets. We track all 67 settlement stations so you stop reading the wrong number.

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A clearer view, before the next position.Weather concept illustration

FOR WEATHER-MARKET RESEARCH

PolymarketKalshi

Independent data. Your decisions.

01 / THE PROBLEM

Most losing tickets
are not bad forecasts.

They are the right reading taken from the wrong station, in the wrong unit, from a source the venue does not settle on. Nothing on a weather app tells you which one a contract uses — so people check the city, and the contract settles somewhere else.

CityKalshi settles onPolymarket settles on
New YorkKNYCCentral ParkKLGALaGuardia
ChicagoKMDWMidwayKORDO'Hare
DenverKDENDenver IntlKBKFBuckley SFB
DallasKDFWDFW IntlKDALLove Field

Four cities, eight stations, two answers each day. These eight are free to watch — no payment, no card. See all settlement stations

The venues do not even use the same kind of source.

Kalshi settles US contracts on the NWS daily climatological report, compiled from the full one-minute record. Polymarket settles on the station observation table. The first can print a high the hourly reports never showed.

Degrees, or half-degrees, or two-degree buckets.

US contracts settle in Fahrenheit on two-degree buckets with odd-numbered boundaries. Everywhere else is one degree Celsius. We publish the running high already rounded into the bucket that contract uses.

And you cannot see how late your data is.

Every station reaches the public feed at its own pace. Warsaw lands in about two minutes. Buckley — the station Polymarket settles Denver on — has a ninety-percent-case of forty minutes. We measure it per station, continuously.

02 / WHAT WE DO ABOUT IT

We already sorted it out.
Just read it here.

A general weather app tells you the temperature of a city. A contract settles on one specific station, in one specific unit. WeatherTick starts from the contract.

WeatherTickA look inside the terminal
SAMPLE DATA

KNYC · Central Park

Every degree has context.

75.9°FSample observation
60°68°75°83°00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
ObservationForecastIllustrative local-day profile

PUT THE MARKET BESIDE IT

Temperature. Meet price.

Compare the weather picture with the contract you are researching.

78–79°FKalshi
19¢
80–81°FKalshi
42¢
82–83°FKalshi
23¢
Explore weather markets
Interactive sample preview · illustrative contracts and prices, not live market quotes.

The two venues rarely agree.

Kalshi settles New York on Central Park, Polymarket on LaGuardia. Chicago is Midway against O’Hare, Denver is Denver International against Buckley, Dallas is DFW against Love Field. Each station is listed separately, with its own settlement source.

The running high, in contract terms.

Today’s high and low so far, converted into the unit and bucket that contract settles in, with the reports it was computed from.

Know how stale your feed is.

Each station reports on its own schedule and reaches the public feed at its own pace. We measure both, per station, over a rolling window.

Illustration of weather observation instruments in an open field
Weather observation concept · illustration

03 / TRACEABLE DATA

Know what you’re
looking at.

A number matters more when you know which contract it settles. Every station carries the venue that lists it, the resolution source that venue names, and the observation time.

NOAA / NWSPublic observation & forecast sources
67 settlement stationsAcross Kalshi and Polymarket, with raw METAR and each venue’s settlement source
Understand the data & settlement

04 / MEMBERSHIP

One membership.
Your terminal. Your API.

Start with the product. Add API capacity as your workflow grows. Each tier combines terminal access with a clear set of data limits.

Prices in USD · monthly billing. Taxes shown at checkout. The priority channel is opened station by station as each channel is verified, and Data Desk shows you exactly which stations are live before you rely on one. Paid subscriptions open soon.

Explorer

Look before you pay.

$0/ month

The web terminal, and live data for the eight stations where the two venues disagree.

Start free
  • Web terminal
  • 8 free stations, live
  • All 67 stations, sample data
  • No API keys
  • 1,000 calls / month
  • 6 requests / minute

Data Desk

For desks that trade this daily.

$149/ month

Everything in Trader, a wider stream, and the priority channel slot as stations come online.

Explore the data API
  • Everything in Trader
  • Push stream, 25 stations
  • Priority channel access
  • Per-station latency intelligence
  • 750,000 calls / month
  • 300 requests / minute
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Monthly subscriptions renew automatically until canceled before the next charge. Refunds are available for duplicate charges or failure to provide the service, without limiting statutory rights. Read our Terms and Refunds & cancellation policy before paying. Contact support for help.

Already building? Browse endpoints, authentication and usage limits.

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A FEW THINGS TO KNOW

A clearer starting point.

Who is WeatherTick for?

Traders who need the station a contract actually settles on, not the city’s weather. Coverage follows Kalshi and Polymarket temperature markets. WeatherTick is an independent data tool; it does not execute trades and it is not a settlement source.

Where does the weather data come from?

Observations come from the public NOAA METAR feed; hourly forecasts for United States stations come from the National Weather Service. We also record the resolution source each venue names — Kalshi settles US contracts on the NWS daily climatological report, Polymarket on the NOAA observation table for the station. Neither our running figures nor a grid forecast is the contract’s final settlement value.

Can I try it before subscribing?

Yes. Explore clearly labeled sample data without signing in, or sign in to use live feeds and the free Explorer plan. Trader is USD 39/month and Data Desk is USD 149/month. Public paid subscriptions are not yet open.

Does a membership include API access?

The free plan is the terminal only — it has no API keys. Paid plans add keys, every station, the push stream and stored history; Data Desk adds the priority channel. Credits are shared across an account’s keys.

YOUR NEXT TRADE STARTS WITH RESEARCH

See the weather.
Then make your call.

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